Elections forecaster Allan Lichtman took a swipe at fellow prognosticator Nate Silver on Wednesday while admitting he was ...

Allan Lichtman, a famed election forecaster and historian who predicted a Harris win, made an X post conceding to his wrong ...

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

The pollster released a long blog post detailing why Trump won and took down his election model, which had predicted a Harris win.

The run-up to the 2024 election saw numerous predictions and forecasts, and inevitably, not everyone was correct about who ...

Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight and author of the Silver Bulletin newsletter Matthew Yglesias, author of the Slow ...

On Election Night, Nate Silver announced that he was pulling his prediction model because it wasn't "capturing the story of ...

He has also crossed the majority mark of 270 and already won 277 electoral votes. Poll guru Silver Nate predicted a Donald Trump win but his last prediction said it would be closer than a coin toss.

Cynics will note the word “if” doing a lot of work there. The other Nate, Nate Silver, eloquently made his defense by re-posting a piece written before the election citing 24 reasons Trump could win ...

ANN ARBOR, Mich. — President-elect Donald Trump has won Michigan — adding 15 electoral votes to his total and nearly ...

The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...

Is Donald Trump going to lose Iowa? That’s the conclusion many US pundits came to after a bombshell poll over the weekend.