The current probability of a recession being officially determined to have begun between 1 November 2024 and 1 November 2025 ...

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point on Thursday, setting the latest path for borrowing ...

Large rate cuts – such as those Fed officials approved and forecast last week – typically reflect an economy the Federal Reserve is trying to dig out of recession. And record-high stock values ...

The Fed does not have an excellent track record in avoiding recessions with rate cuts. 78% of the time, the economy was either already in recession or ended up in recession after monetary easing ...

In the third quarter, consumption increased at an annual rate of 3.7%, above the 2.8% pace in the second quarter. Consumer ...

The consensus view is that lower rates will stave off a recession by stimulating economic growth through lower borrowing costs. There was much debate about whether the Fed would cut by a half ...

"The risk of both resurgent inflation and outright recession will be higher ... Powell was confirmed for a second term in 2022. The Fed's rate cut made sense Thursday, as high rates are no longer ...

A larger Fed rate cut could “send a message of panic ... feat of subduing inflation without tipping the economy into a recession. After sharp rate hikes in 2022 and 2023 to fight inflation ...

If investors interpret a Fed rate cut as occurring because the Fed is worried about an impending recession, stock values could fall, especially if the economy weakens after the rate reduction is ...

Has the Fed nailed a “soft landing,” slowing inflation without causing a recession? Or is September’s rate cut a sign that higher interest rates have gone too far and made the economy too weak?

"History back to 1990 supports the idea that an initial Fed rate cut of 50 basis points signals an imminent recession (2001 and 2007)," write Nicholas Colas and Jessica Rabe, co-founders of ...

The Fed's recent half-point cut in the federal funds rate ... makes questionable the warnings of a pending recession premised on the joblessness rate. Employment needs are shifting.